Healthcare: Stats

Image: Wix | Upward Curve

A. Previous post | summary

Last week’s post provided background and history on US medical insurance, including agency-provided benefits, Medicare, Medicaid, and ACA.

B. Healthcare insurance providers

  • 92% of Americans (304-million) are insured
    • 61% (200-million) private insurance
      • 51% (167-million) employer-provided
      • 9% (30-million) exchange-provided (ACA)
    • 31% (103-million) public insurance
      • 30% (100-million) Medicare or Medicaid
      • 8% are un-insured (26-million)
  • Source: US Census Bureau, under US Department of Commerce

C. Healthcare cost trends

  • GDP increased from $542-billion to $21.4-trillion, 1960 to 2019 (2019=100)
  • For comparison, next five largest economies:
    • China: $14.3-trillion
    • Japan: $5.1-trillion
    • Germany: $3.9-trillion
    • India: $2.9-trillion
    • United Kingdom: $2.8-trillion
  • Healthcare spending increased from (1960 to 2019):
    • $27-billion to $3.8-trillion
    • 5% to 17.7% of GDP
    • $146 to $11,462 per capita
    • Healthcare spending eclipsed GDP growth
  • Ten-year forecast (for 2028)
    • GDP: $31.4-trillion
    • Healthcare spending: $6.2-trillion
    • Healthcare costs outpace GDP growth, increasing to 19.7% of GDP
    • Healthcare spending per capita: $17,592
  • Source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS)
    • Federal agency under US Department of Health & Human Services (HHS)

D. Who spends healthcare dollars

  • Annual healthcare spend per capita $11,462
  • Annual healthcare costs increase with age
    • Over age 85, $35,000
    • Age 65-84, $18,000
    • Age 45-64, $10,000
    • Age 19-44, $5,000
    • Children under age 18, $4,000

E. Where do healthcare dollars go

  • Four categories account for 80% of healthcare spend:
    • Hospital: $1.2-trillion (31%)
    • Professional & dental: $1.0-trillion (27%)
    • Nursing & home healthcare: $480-billion (13%)
    • Prescription drugs: $370-billion (10%)

F. Who funds healthcare expenditures

  • Primary sources of funding (88%):
    • Government (Medicare, Medicaid, CHIP): 43%
    • Private insurance: 33%
    • Out-of-pocket: 11%

G. Distribution of healthcare expenditures

  • Private healthcare spending (insurance & out-of-pocket): $1.7-trillion (2017)
    • Top 25% of users account for $1.5-trillion (87%)
      • Top 1%: $116,000 per capita
      • Next 4%: $37,000 per capita
      • Next 5%: $17,000 per capita
      • Next 15%: $7,000 per capita
    • Remaining 75% of US population account for $0.2-trillion (13%)
  • Source: Agency for Healthcare Research & Quality, Dept. of Health & Human Services

H. How do we die

2.8-million Americans died in 2019; top ten leading causes of death, include:

  • Heart disease: 659,000
  • Cancer: 600,000
  • Accident (unintentional injury): 173,000
  • Chronic lower respiratory disease: 157,000
  • Stroke: 150,000
  • Alzheimer disease: 121,000
  • Diabetes: 88,000
  • Kidney disease: 52,000
  • Flu & pneumonia: 50,000
  • Suicide (intentional self-harm): 48,000
  • All other causes: 758,000
  • Source: US Centers for Disease Control

I. Looking ahead | next post

Next week’s post will clarify the difference between socialized and universal healthcare, and highlight key healthcare policies of other nations.